Interconnection capacity upgrades to support the transition of Morocco to renewables
Interconnection capacity upgrades to support the transition of Morocco to renewables
This study explores the transition of Morocco to renewable electricity to 2040, by taking into account energy demand forecasts, renewable systems penetration and interconnector capacity upgrades / hydrogen infrastructure.
A set of scenarios is developed through published data and software forecast functions. The study includes financial stability, investment risk, resource availability to be considered with a set of disruptors to assess the viability of renewable penetration in the North African context.
The lowest cost option is selected and supported with subsidy reforms/policies to favour renewable acceleration and support the export of excess generation to Europe.
This study explores the transition of Morocco to renewable electricity to 2040, by taking into account energy demand forecasts, renewable systems penetration and interconnector capacity upgrades / hydrogen infrastructure.
A set of scenarios is developed through published data and software forecast functions. The study includes financial stability, investment risk, resource availability to be considered with a set of disruptors to assess the viability of renewable penetration in the North African context.
The lowest cost option is selected and supported with subsidy reforms/policies to favour renewable acceleration and support the export of excess generation to Europe.
Tools Used
Homer Pro
Hybrid Renewable & Distributed Power Generation Software
Hybrid Renewable & Distributed Power Generation Software
Global Atlas
Wind & Solar Resource Data
Wind & Solar Resource Data
R Code
Data visualisation
Data visualisation
MS Excel
Data Analytics & Forecasting
Data Analytics & Forecasting
Energy Context Analysis
Energy Context Analysis
Energy Context Analysis
2020 electricity consumption: 33.6TWh
Carbon dioxide emissions: 28MtCO2
Average Year-on-year growth
Energy consumption: 5%
Electricity consumption: 6%
National policy targets:
52% share - renewable electricity by 2030
42% - Energy efficiency by 2030
2020 electricity consumption: 33.6TWh
Carbon dioxide emissions: 28MtCO2
Average Year-on-year growth
Energy consumption: 5%
Electricity consumption: 6%
National policy targets:
52% share-renewable electricity by 2030
42% - Energy efficiency by 2030
Sankey Diagram of Morocco energy balance by 2019.
Sankey Diagram of Morocco energy balance by 2019.
Current interconnections between Morocco, Spain and Algeria and in-progress and under study interconnection upgrades to Portugal and Mauritania
Current interconnections between Morocco, Spain and Algeria and in-progress and under study interconnection upgrades to Portugal and Mauritania
Solar resources of Morocco: GHI (left) and DNI (right)
Solar resources of Morocco: GHI (left) and DNI (right)
Wind resource map of Morocco indicating wind speeds at 100m height
Wind resource map of Morocco indicating wind speeds at 100m height
Data Analysis & Simulations Methodology
Data Analysis & Simulations Methodology
Data Analysis & Simulations Methodology
Data Analysis and Simulations Findings
Data Analysis and Simulations Findings
Data Analysis and Simulations Findings
Morocco's electricity demand scenarios to 2050 in TWh compared to NREL estimates
Morocco's electricity demand scenarios to 2050 in TWh compared to NREL estimates
Developed electricity demand growth scenarios from software model with the respective trendlines and R squared values
Developed electricity demand growth scenarios from software model with the respective trendlines and R squared values
Diagram of the developed model of Morocco schematic with components.
Diagram of the developed model of Morocco schematic with components.
Interconnection capacity upgrades operating costs in thousands of dollars yearly for 0.1$/kWh grid price and 0.07$/kWh sellback rate in Morocco
Interconnection capacity upgrades operating costs in thousands of dollars yearly for 0.1$/kWh grid price and 0.07$/kWh sellback rate in Morocco
Interconnection capacity upgrades operating costs in thousands of dollars yearly for 0.1$/kWh grid price and 0.07$/kWh sellback rate in Morocco
Interconnection capacity upgrades operating costs in thousands of dollars yearly for 0.1$/kWh grid price and 0.07$/kWh sellback rate in Morocco
Interconnection capacity upgrades payback period in years for Morocco
Interconnection capacity upgrades payback period in years for Morocco
Interconnection capacity upgrades in Morocco ROI %
Interconnection capacity upgrades in Morocco ROI %
Moroccan grid sales to Spain with variable sellback rate, displaying the day of the year and hour of the day in which sales are most occurring, with an electricity scale between 0-12GW
Moroccan grid sales to Spain with variable sellback rate, displaying the day of the year and hour of the day in which sales are most occurring, with an electricity scale between 0-12GW
Renewable fraction per interconnector upgrades in Morocco
Renewable fraction per interconnector upgrades in Morocco
Percentage of export excess from renewable electricity production from Morocco relative to interconnection upgrades between 2018 and 2042
Percentage of export excess from renewable electricity production from Morocco relative to interconnection upgrades between 2018 and 2042
Interconnection electricity export in TWh relative to capacity upgrades in Morocco between 2018 and 2042
Interconnection electricity export in TWh relative to capacity upgrades in Morocco between 2018 and 2042
Renewable penetration of solar and wind electricity production between 2018 and 2042.
Renewable penetration of solar and wind electricity production between 2018 and 2042.
Excess renewable electricity production histogram detailing the most frequent value of excess in kW against the frequency percentage in the 9GW interconnector upgrade
Excess renewable electricity production histogram detailing the most frequent value of excess in kW against the frequency percentage in the 9GW interconnector upgrade
Tank size assuming unlimited capacity in the 9GW interconnector capacity upgrade in Morocco.
Tank size assuming unlimited capacity in the 9GW interconnector capacity upgrade in Morocco.
